5/30/2008
Personal consumer expenditure (PCE) rose 0.2% in April in line with market expectations. This represented a slowing in growth from the 0.4% gain seen in March. Personal income rose 0.2%, a touch faster than market expectations, although down from the 0.4% gain in March.
On a volumes basis, spending was down slightly in April. The level of spending was essentially unchanged in April compared to the first-quarter average. Consumer spending growth should accelerate through the second and third quarters as the rebate cheques (which equate to roughly 12% of personal income) buoy income levels.
From a policy perspective, this report does not alter the landscape in any substantial way. In the near-term, we expect the Fed to remain on hold as it assesses the impact on the economy of their substantial policy actions and the sizeable fiscal stimulus package.
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It is quiet obvious that the traders trading in currencies and interested in exchange markets, will be equally keen and interested in knowing about the overall economic development of the countries whose currencies they hold, or are interested in buying. Every trader wants to be convinced that they economy they are about to invest in is developing with a solid and steady growth, which can be known by studying various factors such as unemployment, import and export, and the GDP statistics of a particular country.
Rise in Unemployment experienced by any particular country is considered as a negative factor, whereas a fall in Unemployment is always measured as a positive aspect.
Similarly, an increase in the GDP figures of a particular country is considered as a positive feature, whereas a decrease in GDP figures is always measured as a negative aspect.
Also, a mount in the Exports numbers of a particular country are always considered as a positive trait as compared to the decrease in Exports numbers which is looked upon as a negative aspect.
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